Ukusuka kwiFlare ukuya kwiFeedstock: Kutheni uKufunyanwa kweOyile eKhanyayo Kunyanzelisa uKucinga ngokutsha kweHlabathi kwiSicwangciso seZityalo se-NGL

I-complex yamandla yehlabathi ibona into engaqhelekanga ebingabonakala ingenakucingelwa kwiminyaka emihlanu eyadlulayo:Ioyile ekrwada iya isiba buthathaka, kodwa uqoqosho lokufumana ixabiso kuloo nto ilula luya luqina.

Idatha yokusebenza yakutshanje evela kwifektri enkulu yokucoca eAfrika kunye noxinzelelo oluqhubekayo lolawulo oluvela eBrussels ludibana kwindawo enye yokucaca. Kwabo bachaphazelekayo kwezobunjineli, ekuthengeni nasekuthengiseni, bajonga ilisoIsityalo sokubuyisela i-NGL imbonakalo yomhlaba, ifestile yeziseko zophuhliso zonyango lwegesi zemveli, ezisikiweyo iyavalwa. Endaweni yayo, kuvela umyalelo omtsha—lowo aphoukubuyiselwa kweoyile ekhanyayoAkuseyongcinga ilandelayo kodwa ngumqhubi wezoqoqosho ophambili wokuphila kakuhle komlambo ophakathi.

Ngomhla wama-26 kweyoMqungu, ngo-2026, iKpler yabika ukuba iDangote Petroleum Refinery yayitshintshele ekucubunguleni amanqanaba aluhlaza alula anobunzima be-API obuyi-37–39 ukuze kuncitshiswe ixesha lokungasebenzi kwiResidual Fluid Catalytic Cracker yayo.Esi asisosiganeko singaqhelekanga. Sisibonakaliso.

Kwangaxeshanye, i-ExxonMobil iqhubela phambili iprojekthi yayo yeLongtail elunxwemeni lwaseGuyana, ijolise ekuvunyweni kokugqibela ekupheleni kuka-2026. Le projekthi kulindeleke ukuba iveliseIibhareli ezingama-200,000 ukuya kuma-290,000 ze-condensate imihla ngemihla—ioyile ekhaphukhaphu kakhulu engafaniyo neekhemikhali kwi-NGL ezikumgangatho ophezulu.

Oku kuthetha ukuthini kubathengi bakho:Ibharele engena kwinkqubo yokucocwa kwehlabathi ayisafani naleyo yayinjalo kwiminyaka elishumi eyadlulayo. Ilula, ityebile kwii-NGL, kwaye ayinyamezeli kakhulu imiqobo yeyunithi yokuguqula. Xa i-RFCC ye-200,000 bpd ingasebenzi—njengoko sibona eNigeria—lonke i-Atlantic Basin liziva ngathi imveliso iyancitshiswa.

Kodwa nantsi into engasebenzi kakuhle: uninzi lwazoIsityalo sokubuyisela i-NGLiziseko zophuhliso zazenzelwe ixesha apho iziphelo zokukhanya zazingumphumo ongasemva. Namhlanje,ukubuyiselwa kweoyile ekhanyayo yiisiganeko sokuqala sesivuno. Iindawo ezingakuqondiyo oku zishiya i-30–40% yexabiso elinokubakho leebharele etafileni.

Ngelixa abacoci bezama ukucubungula iibhareli ezikhaphukhaphu, kukho uloyiko oluhambelanayo oluvela kwiManyano yaseYurophu. Ngomhla we-9 kuFebruwari 2026, intlangano yeesenator zase-US yabongoza iKhomishini yaseYurophu ukuba igcine imigangatho eqinileyo ye-methane phantsi koMgaqo we-EU Methane, beyichasa ngokucacileyo izicelo zase-US zokulibaziseka kokuthobela imithetho kude kube ngu-2035..

Ulwimi oluvela eBrussels alunantsingiselo:"Ukulingana okumiselweyo" akuyi kunikwa ngaphandle kokulinganiswa kwemethane esezantsi ukuya phezulu okunokuqinisekiswa.

Kulapho keunyango lwegesi yendaloayisayi kuba yibhokisi yokujonga imeko-bume kwaye iba yinto eyahlulahlulayo kwezorhwebo. Ngokutsho kwe-International Energy Agency, ii-200 zeebhiliyoni zee-cubic metres zegesi yendalo ziyachithwa minyaka le ngenxa yokukhupha umbane kunye nokukhupha umbane—phantse zilingane nexabiso lilonke lokuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe e-US ngonyaka.

Icandelo le-NGL lijongene nendlela yokulungisa umda wekhabhoni yi-proxy. Ukuthobela i-EUMR akunyanzelekanga ukuba abathumeli bathumele ngaphandle bajolise kwiimarike zaseYurophu eziphezulu. Nangona kunjalo—kwaye oku kubalulekile—ileta yeSenate yase-US iyavuma ngokucacileyo ukubaabavelisi abaninzi basekhaya sele bedlule kwiimfuno ze-EPA.

Abaqhubi abanezixhobo zanamhlanjeIsityalo sokubuyisela i-NGLIimeko ezibamba i-methane kwisiseko semithombo kunye nesigaba sokucubungula azijongani nomthwalo wokuthobela imithetho. Zijongene nethuba lemarike. Iimolekyuli zazo zithwala imvelaphi eqinisekisiweyo, enemveliso ephantsi yokukhupha umbane. Abo baxhomekeke ekubuyiselweni komphunga okudala okanye ekuvuthweni rhoqo baya kufumana ukhetho lwabo lokuthumela ngaphandle luncipha ngokukhawuleza.

Indlela yeMarike yexesha elizayo: 2026–2029

1. Ubunzulu boGuquko buya kudlula ukukhula kwe-Crude Run

I-Kpler iqikelela ukuba ii-ratios zokuguqulwa kwehlabathi ziya kufikelelaI-43.5% ekupheleni kuka-2028, inyuke ukusuka kwi-41.8% ngo-2023Oku akukokuqhekeka kancinci kancinci. Oku kukuhlaziya ulwakhiwo. Abacoci batyala imali ekuqhekekeni kwamanzi kunye nokuphucula intsalela—hayi ukucubungula ioyile engaphezulu, kodwa ukukhupha iziphelo zokukhanya ezingaphezulu kwimveliso ekhoyo.

Impembelelo kubayili bezityalo zokubuyisela i-NGL:Lindela ukuba ii-feedstocks zibeilula kwaye ityebile kakhulu kwi-ethaneIzityalo ezilungiselelwe ukwakhiwa kwe-inlet ka-2020 ziya kujongana nemiqobo yokuqhekeka ngo-2027. Ukulungiswa kwakhona kwe-C2+ kuya kuba ngumjikelo wemali ophambili.

2. Ukuhlaziywa kweAtlantic Basin Kufika Phakathi kowama-2026

UKpler uqikelela ukuba ukuba uDangote kunye noDos Bocas baphumelela ekusetyenzisweni ngokuzinzileyo, iAtlantic Basin ingabona olunye uphuhliso.I-300,000 bpd yepetroli kunye ne-150,000 bpd yepetroliphakathi kowama-2026Oku kuhambelana nokuqaliswa kokusebenza okulindelekileyo kweprojekthi yeGolden Pass LNG.

Indawo yokucinezela:Ii-NGL kulindeleke ukuba ziphenduleI-0.75 yezigidi ze-bpd kwi-1.40 yezigidi zee-bpd iyonke imfuno yolwelo ngo-2026 . SekunjaloIsityalo se-LNGAbaqhubi bajongene nezilumkiso zokubonelela ngeenkonzo ezigqithisileyo ukuya kuthi ga ngo-2029.

Imakethi ayigcwele kakhululuncedoiimolekyuli. Igcwele kakhulu igesi yendalo enganqunyanyiswanga, ekhupha ungcoliseko oluninzi, nengahlukanisiweyo. Ipremiyamu iya kuqokelelwa kwiIsityalo sokubuyisela i-NGLabasebenzi abanokubonisa iimpawu ezintathu:ukusebenza kwe-methane okuqinisekisiweyo, ukuguquguquka kwe-feedstock kuzo zonke iinguqu zomxhuzulane ze-API, kunye neendlela ezidibeneyo zokuvelisa i-hydrogen.

3. Icebo leGulf eliBini

Ingxelo ye-DNV kaFebruwari 2026 malunga nokususwa kwekhabhoni kwiGulf iqinisekisa ukuba abavelisi be-GCC balandela ngamandlaukufakelwa kombane kwingcinezelo yegesi, ukuhlanganiswa kweCCS, kunye nokususwa kwemethane—hayi njengemizamo yozinzo, kodwa njengei-inshurensi yokufikelela kwimarike .

Ingcebiso yam kwiinkampani ze-EPC kunye nabaphathi beeasethi:Ukuba iGulf—eneendawo zokugcina iihydrocarbon ezibiza kancinci kwihlabathi—ityala imali eninzi kwiunyango lwegesi yendaloukuphuculwa kunye nokubuyiswa kwegesi evuthayo ukukhusela isabelo semarike, uphawu lweendawo ezixabisa kakhulu alunakucaca ngakumbi. Iiprojekthi zokuthobela imithetho ezizimeleyo zifile. Lonke utyalo-mali lokunciphisa ukukhutshwa komoya kufuneka ludityanisweIsityalo sokubuyisela i-NGLukulungiswa kwesivuno.

Qhagamshelana:

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